The Government Actuary’s Department (GAD) worked with the Ministry of Justice (MOJ) to create tailored climate scenarios for the UK justice system, covering the 2030s, 2050s and 2080s. Using a structured PESTLE approach, GAD identified key drivers of climate risk and translated them into financial and operational impacts for MOJ’s core services, including prisons, courts, legal aid and probation. The scenarios show that under both a 2°C and a 4°C future, several risks become more acute by the 2030s, making estate adaptation, decarbonisation and operational resilience decisions urgent. GAD stresses that early investment in mitigation and adaptation is likely to be more manageable than responding after impacts compound, reducing costly crisis management later.
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Summary adapted from content licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.
For details, see https://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/.
Original source: https://www.gov.uk/
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