Norway and Sweden’s Post‑Inflation Monetary Paths Diverge

Norway and Sweden’s post‑inflation monetary paths diverge. A recent economic commentary by vice governor Anna Seim and Jakob Almerud of the Swedish central bank notes that although Norway’s policy rate has been higher than Sweden’s, Norwegian inflation remains above target while Swedish inflation has been below target at the beginning of 2026. The authors argue that Norway’s stronger real‑economy growth suggests a less restrictive stance than Sweden’s, implying a higher neutral rate in Norway. Forecasts from the two central banks indicate that Norges Bank has placed greater emphasis on real‑economy stability than Riksbanken. They also suggest that differences in the design of each bank’s mandate may contribute to the observed divergence.

Source: Sveriges Riksbank.
Data reproduced from https://www.riksbank.se/ (open data).
Open data, freely available.

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